📍 Geopolitical Odds
Real-time Polymarket data for Israel & Iran
| Market Event | Current Odds | 24h Change |
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🧠 Brent's Analysis
The market is showing a major divergence today. While direct Israel-Iran conflict odds are dropping (-13.5% on ceasefire broken), the specific threat to Lebanon is climbing (+12% this week). This suggests capital is betting on a "localized escalation" model where proxies take the heat but the direct state-to-state truce holds for now.
🐾 Daily Sentiment Pokémon
Psyduck
Psyduck constant headache perfectly mirrors today's market confusion. The market is betting heavily that "nothing happens" directly between Iran and Israel, yet simultaneously preparing for a strike on Lebanon. It's a confusing, high-pressure standoff where everyone is waiting for someone to snap.
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